MigScene – migration scenarios

Population projections for migration scenarios, human capital development, and sustainable integration (MigScene) consortium explores how human capital, and productivity may evolve in Finland under various educational, migration, and integration scenarios.

Principal investigator: Wolfgang Lutz, Väestöliitto
Interaction coordinator: Johanna Lahtela, Väestöliitto

Research themes – working packages

  • Population and Migration Scenarios for Finland
    Wolfgang Lutz, Väestöliitto
  • Long-Term Economic Sustainability under Uncertain Population Dynamics
    Mikko Myrskylä, University of Helsinki

    • Long-term economic sustainability, Sanna Kailanheimo-Lönnqvist, University of Helsinki
    • Probabilistic population forecasting, Julia Hellstrand, University of Helsinki
  • Skilled Young Immigrants
    Mirkka Danielsbacka, University of Turku and Väestöliitto
  • Building Youth Capabilities
    Anna Rotkirch, Väestöliitto

MigSecne is using Finnish and international microsimulation tools, survey and register data, and machine learning techniques, the consortium will present a set of multidimensional population projections for Finland between 2025 and 2070.

In addition to Väestöliitto, the University of Turku and the University of Helsinki are partners in the consortium. Other collaborators are cities of Helsinki, Turku and Tampere, and Tampere City region, Statistics Finland, and different Ministries. Väestöliitto is also responsible for the project interaction.

The study has received funding from the Strategic Research Council (STN), established within the Research Council of Finland. MigScene is part of the Skills, Labour Supply and Migration in Future Finland (SKILLS) program.